A few weeks
ago, I came across a book named “How I made $ 2 million in the Stock Market “.
At first I was skeptical of buying it as I thought it would talk about get rich
quick thing or maybe the author would only be talking about how great he was so
that he made this fortune in such a short span of time. But I am glad I ordered
the book and I was hooked as soon as I started reading it!
Read : Best Stock Market Books For Trader and Investors
Read : Best Stock Market Books For Trader and Investors
Nicolas
Darvas was extremely famous in the Stock Market realm not only because of the
fact that he made $ 2 Million in the stock market, but because of the way in
which he made it. He had no prior knowledge of the market and was a
professional dancer and continued to pursue his dancing profession and he used
to tour the world for the same even when he was carrying leveraged open stock
positions. As any other trader, he also went through a lot of ups and downs and
lost a lot of money initially and even thought of quitting the markets.
He also,
like most of us, started trading with a gambler’s mindset and tried to make
quick money and got attached to his trades. It resulted in him holding on to
his losses for longer and quickly booking out his profits. He was affected by
all the news flow and quickly jumped in and out of trades and bought shares by
following the tips of his broker and friends.
He even tried to sit in the broker’s office and traded from there only
to realize later that whenever he was close to the action, he lost the most.
He was
thankful that his career made him tour the world and he eventually traded just
by following the prices at the end of the day which he got via the telegrams
that he had instructed his broker to keep sending to whichever part of the
planet he would be. He was essentially
following the “eod” or the end of day trading technique, in which traders
usually ignore all the noise that goes on during the market hours and look at
only the closing price at the end of the day and trade accordingly.
What
basically propelled his success was his findings that the strong stocks kept
rising and the weaker ones kept falling and he just had to keep riding the
rising stocks and book his profits only by trailing the stop loss. He was no
longer interested in buying for 2-3% profits and wanted to ride the trend till
it lasted. His way of buying the momentum stocks, gave birth to the famous Box Theory which is still widely used by
traders all over the globe.
Let me try
to explain the theory with the help of a few Indian stocks.
This is
Daily chart of Icici Securities. As you can observe, stocks move as if they are
climbing stairs. Nicolas used to monitor the closing prices and used to make a
box which consisted of the highs and lows of that range or box.
Whenever the price used to leave a particular box and moved to a higher box, he used to buy it or even added position if was already holding it. He kept buying whenever the stock moved to a higher box. This simple technique made him win big when he was winning and he lost little when he was thrown out of a stock, that is, when the low of the box was broken.
Whenever the price used to leave a particular box and moved to a higher box, he used to buy it or even added position if was already holding it. He kept buying whenever the stock moved to a higher box. This simple technique made him win big when he was winning and he lost little when he was thrown out of a stock, that is, when the low of the box was broken.
This is
Daily chart of Abbott India. It also gave a lot of opportunities to add
position in it and is still continuing to move in boxes. This is a sign of a
good stock as it is not closing below the low of the current box or range.
I hope this
article gave you an idea of how Nicolas Darvas traded and maybe you can try to
implement this simple strategy into your own trading.
Thanks a lot Ji.....
ReplyDeleteMost welcome ji
DeleteThis is an interesting article.Thanks for Sharing. I will explore more on it.Your web site name is very interesting..Trade like a monk...beautiful
DeleteDoes this work in negative direction as well ?
DeleteThanks for sharing. Good learning
ReplyDeleteGlad that u liked it...
DeleteGreat one. Even I have recently completed reading the book which is truly amazing and inspirational for budding traders
ReplyDeleteYa it's a great book...
DeleteGem. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteThanks buddy....
DeleteVery nice article.
ReplyDeleteThanks sir.
Thanks for the feedback...
Deletealong with box, darvas was also closely following volume pattern.. without volume, theory is incomplete and useless..
ReplyDeleteThe problem with this strategy is, there are so many stocks which create boxes and give breakouts but you never know which one would continue creating these type of patterns. What are your thoughts in it?
ReplyDeleteYa we cannot know in advance if they will continue making these patterns , that's why we just have to follow the trend and keep riding till the box is not broken from below...
DeleteHello sir,
ReplyDeleteVery Informative article, what about stoploss??How to place it using this method?
Lower end of the box, when it breaks that....
DeleteNice Article sir
ReplyDeleteVery Nice Article, Harneet Sir :)
ReplyDeleteVery Nice Article, Harneet Sir :)
ReplyDeleteVery nice and simple way of riding the trend
ReplyDeleteNice article. Sir can you please write and article on Stop losses and how to deal if we stop out and trade again moves in favorable direction
ReplyDeletewhat should be the range of the box. Meaning how do we define the low and highs
ReplyDeleteRange depends upon the lows and highs in a range.. more the touch points, the better it is...
DeleteGood Insight for part time and amateur traders
ReplyDeletewonderful rticle, sardarji....
ReplyDeleteso simple but so effective...
thnks for sharing
Very good explanation in very simple way thanks a lot sir
ReplyDeleteDear Harneet Singh. I'm very interested in options trade and although not new to the markets have hardly traded options. Pls advise. The.
ReplyDeleteMadhusudan
Thanks. You make it sound very simple. Now the question is " why people do not implement it despite knowing and its simplicity"?.
ReplyDeleteAs usual very good stuff in your website.
ReplyDeleteNicely explained in Brief..Thanks!
ReplyDeletegreat article you have put his whole knowledge in 1 page. I met him few years back in Sydney he did not explain as well as you wrote it.
ReplyDeleteSuper sir 😊keep it up
ReplyDeleteGood to see the indian stocks with darvas theory explained. Thanks Ji.
ReplyDeleteExtremely informative blog!!
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think about applying the same to Index Mutual Funds?
ReplyDeletenice Sir ji, Best learn from u that wait and watch carefully and Patiently.
ReplyDeleteThank you for Valuable learn
Great learning for me. Thank you Sir. .
ReplyDeleteAwesome, and Simplified , no Indicator , Nothing. Love It.
ReplyDelete